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Royal AscotGroup 1 · Flat|Race 4/7|2026-06-18 16:20|2m4f · 良硬

Gold Cup

Royal Ascot · Berkshire, United Kingdom · Prêmio £625,000

英国furlongs负磅 (st-lbs)

Doyen's Legacy

Ryan Moore · Aidan O'Brien

9-0 · OR 122

Doyen Star

Frankie Dettori · John Gosden

9-0 · OR 119

Stradivarius II

Andrea Atzeni · John Gosden

9-0 · OR 120

Trueshan Prince

Hollie Doyle · Alan King

9-0 · OR 117

Order Of St George II

Seamie Heffernan · Aidan O'Brien

9-0 · OR 116

Yeats Gold

William Buick · Charlie Appleby

8-11 · OR 115

Doyen's Dream

Oisin Murphy · Andrew Balding

9-0 · OR 114

Doyen's Crown

Tom Marquand · William Haggas

9-0 · OR 113

Legacy 22%

Star 16%

II 12%

Prince 10%

II 8%

Gold 7%

Others 26%

AI Confiança: 72%PisoCavalo: 16

AIPrevisão IA Análise

Pódio Previsto

Doyen's Legacy

22%

Doyen Star

16%

Stradivarius II

12%

Probabilidade de Vitória

Doyen's Legacy

22%

Doyen Star

16%

Stradivarius II

12%

Trueshan Prince

9.5%

Order Of St George II

Yeats Gold

Doyen's Dream

5.5%

Doyen's Crown

4.5%

Doyen Voyager

3.5%

Doyen Fortune

Doyen Peak

2.5%

Doyen Quest

Doyen Blaze

1.5%

Doyen Crest

1.2%

Doyen Spirit

Long Chutes (<1%)

Doyen Frost: 0.80%

Model Confiança72%

Corrida TypeFlat Corrida

Aposta Recomendada

Doyen's Legacy Each-Way & Doyen Star to Place

Doyen's Legacy has the highest speed figures over 2m4f on Good to Firm going, backed by Ryan Moore's exceptional 28% win rate at Royal Ascot. The O'Brien/Moore combination has a 34% strike rate in Group 1 staying races. Doyen Star offers place value at 5.00 given his consistent form figures and Gosden's strong Ascot record.

Previsão IA Explanation (SHAP)Base Valor: 6.3%

Base Probabilidade

6.3%

Top speed figure of 118 is 6lbs clear of field average

+3.8%

Form figures 1-1-2-1-1 show elite consistency

+3.2%

Proven stamina over 2m4f with 4 wins at trip

+2.2%

5 wins from 7 starts on Good to Firm ground

+1.8%

Stamina index of 94 is highest in the field

+1.6%

3 Group 1 wins, consistent at the highest level

+1.5%

A. O'Brien 8/24 last 14 days, Gold Cup specialist

+1.4%

Ryan Moore: 28% win rate at Royal Ascot

+1.2%

2 wins from 3 starts at Ascot course

+1.1%

Consistency rating 91/100 across 14 career starts

+1.0%

Moore/O'Brien combo: 34% in G1 staying races

+0.9%

Strong hold-up style suits Gold Cup tempo

+0.8%

Strong preference for fast ground confirmed by pedigree

+0.7%

Rated 122, top-rated horse in the field by 3lbs

+0.6%

Age 5 is peak for staying flat performers

+0.5%

Odds shortening from 4.50 to 3.50, strong support

+0.5%

28-day gap is optimal for this trainer's pattern

+0.4%

Predicted strong pace suits hold-up runners

+0.4%

Carries full 9-0 allocation, no weight advantage

-0.3%

Slight middle-track advantage suits racing style

+0.3%

Peak performance window for June campaigns

+0.3%

Draw 7 is neutral for this distance at Ascot

+0.2%

Moderate headwind may slightly blunt finish

-0.2%

No equipment changes, consistent setup

0.0%

Final Previsão

22.2%

?Simulador de Cenários

Piso do Cenário

Rain Probabilidade20%

Velocidade do Vento (mph)10 mph

Temperatura (°C)22°C

Resultado da Simulaçãos

Doyen's Legacy

22%

0.0%

Doyen Star

16%

0.0%

Stradivarius II

12%

0.0%

Trueshan Prince

9.5%

0.0%

Order Of St George II

0.0%

Yeats Gold

7.0%

+0.0%

Doyen's Dream

5.5%

0.0%

Doyen's Crown

4.5%

0.0%

Doyen Voyager

3.5%

+0.0%

Doyen Fortune

0.0%

Doyen Peak

2.5%

0.0%

Doyen Quest

0.0%

Doyen Blaze

1.5%

0.0%

Doyen Crest

1.2%

0.0%

Doyen Spirit

0.0%

Long Chutes (<1%)

Doyen Frost: 0.80%