Ottawa Senators vs Carolina Hurricanes — NHL — AI Prediction & Odds

AI Predicted Record

Yesterday8 / 1080%

This week72%

This month68%

Value Bet ROI+12.4%

View full record →

🏒 NHL — VALUE BET · Edge +6.9%

NYR

—

About 5 W W L W OT

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🏟 ——

TOR

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About 5 W L W W L

🎯 AI Predictions

24-Dimensional SHAP · High Confidence Level

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— 勝和局— 勝

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✨ What-if Scenario Simulation (Click to view)

載入中…

24-Feature Contribution (SHAP)

利 —中性 0利 —

近期狀態差

—

歷史交手數據

—

主場優勢

—

球員傷兵狀況

—

休息天數差

—

xG 差距

—

進攻效率

—

防守強度

—

球員評分平均

—

控球率差

—

射門轉化率

—

高球能力

—

搶斷成功率

—

進攻三區威脅

—

壓迫強度

—

定位球效率

—

客場戰績

—

聯賽排名差

—

板凳深度

—

教練戰術風格

—

裁判傾向

—

天氣影響

—

場地狀況

—

心理動機

—

📊 Key Metrics Comparison

Data for this season

Goals per game

Maple Leafs +0.16

NYRRangers

3.42

TORMaple Leafs

3.58

Goals against per game The fewer, the better

Rangers -0.26

NYRRangers

2.76

TORMaple Leafs

3.02

Shots per game

Rangers +1.3

NYRRangers

31.5

TORMaple Leafs

30.2

Goalkeeper Save Percentage (SV%)

Rangers +0.013

NYRRangers

.918

TORMaple Leafs

.905

Power Play %

Maple Leafs up 2.8%

NYRRangers

22.3%

TORMaple Leafs

25.1%

Penalty Kill %

Rangers up 4.3%

NYRRangers

82.8%

TORMaple Leafs

78.5%

Face-off Percentage

Rangers up 2.3%

NYRRangers

52.1%

TORMaple Leafs

49.8%

Target deviation (+/−)

Maple Leafs +6

NYRRangers

+18

TORMaple Leafs

+24

🎯 Projected Score · Most Likely Score

Monte Carlo · 10,000 simulations

Expected Goals (xG) (AI model)

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Rangers

—

Maple Leafs

—

Over/Under Odds

Over 6.5 goals 58%

Rangers -1.5 42%

OT/Shootout Probability 18%

🎯 Most Likely Scores (Top 6)

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⚔ Head-to-Head Record

This Season · Rangers: 2 wins, 1 loss

2026-02-28

Regular Season @ Scotiabank

RangersNYR

5:3

TORLeafs

Rangers

2025-12-20

Regular Season · MSG

RangersNYR

2:3

TORLeafs

Leafs OT

2025-11-15

Regular Season · MSG

RangersNYR

4:1

TORLeafs

Rangers

2025-03-08

Regular Season @ Scotiabank

RangersNYR

3:2

TORLeafs

Rangers SO

2024-12-10

Regular Season · MSG

RangersNYR

1:4

TORLeafs

Leafs

📈 Recent Form (Last 10 Matches)

All Events

NYR Rangers 7 wins 2-1 (OT)

W W W L W OT W W L W

Wvs Devils (H)4-1

Wvs Islanders (A)3-2

Wvs Bruins (H)5-3

Lvs Capitals (A)1-4

Wvs Penguins (H)6-2

TOR Maple Leafs 6 wins 3 losses, 1 overtime

W L W W L W W OT L W

Wvs Canadiens (H)4-2

Lvs Panthers (A)2-5

Wvs Sabres (H)6-2

Wvs Senators (A)3-1

Lvs Lightning (A)3-4

👥 Attacking line + goalkeeper

First Line · Updated 30 minutes before the start

NYR Rangers —

———

Defense

———

🥅 Goalie

———

TOR Maple Leafs —

———

Defense

———

🥅 Goalie

———

🎭 AI Triangular Debate

Conservative · Radical · Statistical

辯論主題：—

保守派 · 統計優先

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判斷—

激進派 · 看重賠率

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判斷—

統計派 · 進球模型

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判斷—

📰 Related Articles

All →

🏒

PREVIEW

AI Analysis: The Key to the Rangers vs. Leafs Matchup Lies in the Goaltending Gap

4 hours ago · Sports.game AI

⚠

BREAKING

Matthews is closing in on the 60-goal mark, having scored 12 goals in his last 10 games

2 hours ago · NHL.com

🏆

RECAP

Panarin Scores Two Goals and Adds an Assist as the Rangers Easily Defeat the Penguins

Yesterday · The Athletic

📊

ANALYSIS

The MSG Ice Rink Curse: Rangers' Home Record in the Regular Season: 24 Wins, 8 Losses

Yesterday · Sportsnet

💰 Top Pick: Value Bet

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Odds 1.95 · Pinnacle · Recommended bet size: 1–2% of your bankroll

AI Probability

58%

Market-implied

51%

⚠ For informational purposes only; not betting advice. Value = AI probability − market implied probability.

Page Navigation

📈 Odds Comparison

In real time

Bookie Rangers Oita Leafs

— — — —

Best Odds

🔗 Today's NHL

Featured Events

/match/nhl/[id] v1 · Tap ☀/🌙 to switch themes

🔥 NHL · Rangers vs. Maple Leafs Tonight at 7:00 p.m. · Shesterkin starts

Back

Rangers vs Maple Leafs NHL · Playoffs Game 1 · 7:00 a.m.

AI Track Record

Yesterday8/10

Week72%

Month68%

ROI+12.4%

🏒 NHL — VALUE BET +6.8%

NYR

Rangers

—

W W L W W

NHL

—

🏟 —
☀ —

TOR

Maple Leafs

Atlantic 2 · 49-28-5

W L W W L

💰 Top Pick: Value Bet

—

Odds 2.05 · Pinnacle · Recommended bet size: 1–2% of your bankroll

AI Probability

56%

Market-implied

49%

⚠ For informational purposes only; not betting advice. Value = AI probability − market implied probability.

🎯 AI Predictions

24-way SHAP · 2-way

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Rangers Win Maple Leafs Win

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🔮 What-if Scenario Simulation

載入中…

📊 24-Dimensional Feature Contribution

Toronto Maple Leafs − + Rangers

近期狀態差

—

歷史交手數據

—

主場優勢

—

球員傷兵狀況

—

休息天數差

—

xG 差距

—

進攻效率

—

防守強度

—

球員評分平均

—

控球率差

—

射門轉化率

—

高球能力

—

搶斷成功率

—

進攻三區威脅

—

壓迫強度

—

定位球效率

—

客場戰績

—

聯賽排名差

—

板凳深度

—

教練戰術風格

—

裁判傾向

—

天氣影響

—

場地狀況

—

心理動機

—

📊 Key Figures

This season

Points per game

NYR Up 0.3

NYRRangers

3.42

TORMaple L…

3.15

Points allowed per game

NYR -0.4

NYRRangers

2.56

TORMaple L…

2.92

Team SV%

NYR High 0.0

NYRRangers

.922

TORMaple L…

.908

The Powerhouse Steps In PP%

TOR up 1.6%

NYRRangers

23.8%

TORMaple L…

25.4%

Short-handed PK%

NYR up 5.7%

NYRRangers

84.2%

TORMaple L…

78.5%

Shots per game

NYR +2.3

NYRRangers

32.8

TORMaple L…

30.5

Hits per game

TOR High 1.4

NYRRangers

19.4

TORMaple L…

20.8

Win rate on serve

NYR up 2.3%

NYRRangers

52.1%

TORMaple L…

49.8%

🎯 Expected Score

Monte Carlo

Expected score

—

Rangers

—

Maple Leafs

—

Over 6.5 goals—

Rangers -1.5—

The game went into overtime—

🎯 Top 6 Most Likely Scores

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⚔ Head-to-Head Record

The Rangers are 2-1 this season

2026
03/28

NYRR

4:2

LTOR

Rangers

2026
02/14

NYRR

1:3

LTOR

Leafs

2026
01/08

NYRR

5:2

LTOR

Rangers

2025
11/20

NYRR

3:2

LTOR

Rangers (OT)

2025
10/15

NYRR

2:4

LTOR

Leafs

📈 Recent Updates Form

Last 10 games

R Rangers 7 wins 2-1 OTL

W W L W W OT W W L W

Wvs Islanders (H)4-1

Wvs Devils (A)3-2

Lvs Bruins (A)1-4

Wvs Flyers (H)5-2

L Maple Leafs 6 wins 3 losses, 1 OTL

W L W W OT W W L L W

Wvs Senators (H)5-3

Lvs Panthers (A)2-4

Wvs Canadiens (H)6-2

Wvs Sabres (A)4-3

👥 Expected lineup

Updated 1 hour before the start

R Rangers Starting Lineup Forwards · D · G

Front-line striker

20C. KreiderLW · 38G

93M. ZibanejadC · 72pts

10A. Panarin (A)RW · 92pts

16V. TrocheckC · 68pts

24K. KakkoRW · 45pts

Defensive line

8J. Trouba (C)D · +15

55R. LindgrenD · +12

23A. FoxD · 82pts

🥅 Starting goalkeeper

31I. ShesterkinSV% .935

L Maple Leafs Starting Lineup Forwards · D · G

Front-line striker

34A. Matthews (C)C · 69G

16M. MarnerRW · 98pts

88W. NylanderRW · 95pts

91J. TavaresC · 74pts

89N. RobertsonLW · 42pts

Defensive line

44M. Rielly (A)D · 58pts

3J. McCabeD · +8

25C. BenoitD · +5

⚠ To be monitored

34A. MatthewsAnkle · 80%

🥅 Starting goalkeeper

1J. WollSV% .908

📈 Odds Comparison

In real time

Bookie Rangers Oita Leafs

Pinnacle 2.05 1.95 2.22

DraftKings 2.00 1.92 2.28

FanDuel 2.02 1.90 2.25

BetMGM 1.98 1.93 2.24

Highest odds

🎭 AI Triangular Debate

Debate Topic:Can the Rangers sweep the opening game?

Conservatives Rangers to win in regulation ▼

Shesterkin has a .928 save percentage in the playoffs, and the Rangers are 31-10-2 at home. The Leafs have a 3-7 record in their last 10 road games at MSG.

→ Rangers to win

radicals Leafs Away Win Value ▼

Four players on the Leafs have 70+ points, and Matthews has 70 goals; the away odds of 2.28 imply a 44% probability, which is lower than the model’s 44%, making this a worthwhile bet as well.

→ Maple Leafs win

Statisticians Total Under 6.5 ▼

The average score in the first game of the playoffs is 5.6 goals, and the average in the last five head-to-head matches between the two teams is 5.4 goals; given the tense atmosphere, the likelihood of a lower-scoring game is high.

→ Under 6.5

🔗 Related Events

NHL · Playoffs

📰 Related Articles

All →

🏒

PREVIEW

AI In-Depth Analysis: Shesterkin vs. Matthews—The First Game Will Set the Tone for the Series

3 hours ago · Sports.game AI

⚡

BREAKING

Matthews' ankle condition is uncertain; a decision on whether he will start will be made after the pre-game warm-up.

1 hour ago · TSN

🏆

RECAP

The Rangers finished first in the Eastern Conference during the regular season, and the home-ice advantage at MSG will work in their favor in Game 1.

Yesterday · ESPN

🎯 AI Predictions

24-Feature Contribution (SHAP)

📊 Key Metrics Comparison

Goals per game

Goals against per game The fewer, the better

Shots per game

Goalkeeper Save Percentage (SV%)

Power Play %

Penalty Kill %

Face-off Percentage

Target deviation (+/−)

🎯 Projected Score · Most Likely Score

⚔ Head-to-Head Record

📈 Recent Form (Last 10 Matches)

👥 Attacking line + goalkeeper

NYR Rangers —

TOR Maple Leafs —

🎭 AI Triangular Debate

📰 Related Articles

💰 Top Pick: Value Bet

🎯 AI Predictions

📊 24-Dimensional Feature Contribution

📊 Key Figures

Points per game

Points allowed per game

Team SV%

The Powerhouse Steps In PP%

Short-handed PK%

Shots per game

Hits per game

Win rate on serve

🎯 Expected Score

⚔ Head-to-Head Record

📈 Recent Updates Form

👥 Expected lineup

R Rangers Starting Lineup Forwards · D · G

L Maple Leafs Starting Lineup Forwards · D · G

📈 Odds Comparison

🎭 AI Triangular Debate

🔗 Related Events

📰 Related Articles

Ottawa Senators vs Carolina Hurricanes — NHL AI Prediction & Odds