Tennis Match — ATP — AI Prediction & Odds

AI Predicted Record

Yesterday8 / 1080%

This week72%

This month68%

Value Bet ROI+12.4%

View full record →

🎾 ATP — VALUE BET · Edge +5.8%

C.A

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About 5 W W W L W

FINAL

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🏟 ——

J.S

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About 5 W W W W W

🎯 AI Predictions

24-Dimensional SHAP · High Confidence Level

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— 勝和局— 勝

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✨ What-if Scenario Simulation (Click to view)

載入中…

24-Feature Contribution (SHAP)

利 —中性 0利 —

主隊主場攻擊力

—

主隊主場防守力

—

客隊客場攻擊力

—

客隊客場防守力

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xG 差距

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聯賽主場優勢

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主隊近期 xG 狀態

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客隊近期 xG 狀態

—

進攻效率

—

雙方防守水平

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數據穩定度

—

歷史交手優勢

—

近五場交手

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主隊休息天數

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客隊旅途疲勞

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主隊傷兵影響

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客隊傷兵影響

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聯賽積分壓力

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賽程重要度

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長期強度 Elo

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節奏匹配

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主隊主場攻擊力

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主隊主場防守力

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客隊客場攻擊力

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客隊客場防守力

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📊 Key Metrics Comparison

Data for this season

First-shot conversion rate

Sinner +3%

CAAlcaraz

66%

JSSinner

69%

First-serve points won

Alcaraz up 3%

CAAlcaraz

78%

JSSinner

75%

Second-serve conversion rate

Sinner +3%

CAAlcaraz

54%

JSSinner

57%

Breakout success rate

Alcaraz up 4%

CAAlcaraz

43%

JSSinner

39%

Strikeouts per game

Sinner Plus 1.4

CAAlcaraz

6.8

JSSinner

8.2

Double faults per game The fewer, the better

Alcaraz is down 0.3

CAAlcaraz

2.1

JSSinner

2.4

Winning percentage on hard courts this season

Alcaraz up 4%

CAAlcaraz

72%

JSSinner

68%

Serve speed (km/h)

Sinner 7

CAAlcaraz

218

JSSinner

225

🎯 Match Predictions · Most Likely Scores

Monte Carlo · 10,000 simulations

Expected Volume (AI Model)

—

Alcaraz

—

Sinner

—

Probability of the number of hands / games

The match goes to more than three sets 68%

Total Goals Over 38.5 62%

Probability of a Game 7 54%

🎯 Most Likely Scores (Top 6)

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⚔ Head-to-Head Record

Career: 12 matches · Alcaraz: 6 wins, 6 losses

2026-01-26

Australian Open Final · Hard Court

AlcarazCA

2:3

JSSinner

Sinner

2025-11-13

ATP World Tour Finals · Hard Court

AlcarazCA

2:1

JSSinner

Alcaraz

2025-06-09

French Open Final · Clay

AlcarazCA

3:2

JSSinner

Alcaraz

2025-03-19

Miami Finals · Hard Court

AlcarazCA

1:2

JSSinner

Sinner

2024-09-08

US Open Semifinals · Hard Court

AlcarazCA

3:1

JSSinner

Alcaraz

📈 Recent Form (Last 10 Matches)

All Events

CA Alcaraz 8 wins 2 Negative

W W W L W W L W W W

WSF vs Medvedev3-1

WQF vs Zverev3-0

WR16 vs Dimitrov3-1

WR32 vs Rune3-0

LDubai SF1-2

JS Sinner 10 wins 0 Negative

W W W W W W W W W W

WSF vs Djokovic3-2

WQF vs Tsitsipas3-1

WR16 vs Ruud3-0

WAO Champion3-2

WRotterdam Champion2-0

👥 Athlete Profile

Career Stats · This Season's Performance

CA Carlos Alcaraz —

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Weapon of Choice

———

Indian Wells Records

———

JS Jannik Sinner —

———

Weapon of Choice

———

Indian Wells Records

———

🎭 AI Triangular Debate

Conservative · Radical · Statistical

辯論主題：—

保守派 · 統計優先

—

判斷—

激進派 · 看重賠率

—

判斷—

統計派 · 進球模型

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判斷—

📰 Related Articles

All →

🎾

PREVIEW

AI Analysis: Alcaraz vs. Sinner—A Generational Showdown: Who Will Come Out on Top in the 13th Match?

4 hours ago · Sports.game AI

⚠

BREAKING

Sinner advances to the semifinals after a grueling five-set battle, but his stamina is taking a toll

2 hours ago · ATP Tour

🏆

RECAP

Alcaraz sweeps past Medvedev 6-3, 6-0 to advance, showing incredible form

Yesterday · Tennis.com

📊

ANALYSIS

Generational Showdown: A Deep Dive into Alcaraz vs. Sinner—A Look at Their 12 Head-to-Head Matches

Yesterday · The Guardian

💰 Top Pick: Value Bet

—

Odds 1.98 · Pinnacle · Recommended bet size: 1–2% of your bankroll

AI Probability

62%

Market-implied

56%

⚠ For informational purposes only; not betting advice. Value = AI probability − market implied probability.

Page Navigation

📈 Odds Comparison

In real time

Bookie Alcaraz The market Sinner

— — — —

Best Odds

🔗 WTA Today

Women's Singles Final

/match/tennis/[id] v1 · Tap ☀/🌙 to switch themes

🔥 Tennis · Madrid Masters Final: Alcaraz vs. Sinner at 10:00 p.m. · Clay Court Showdown

Back

Alcaraz vs Sinner ATP Masters · Final · 10:00 PM

AI Track Record

Yesterday8/10

Week72%

Month68%

ROI+12.4%

🎾 Tennis — VALUE BET +5.8%

ALC

C. Alcaraz

—

W W W W L

ATP

—

🏟 —
☀ —

SIN

J. Sinner

ATP No. 1 · 24 years old · Italy

W W W L W

💰 Top Pick: Value Bet

—

Odds 1.88 · Pinnacle · Recommended bet size: 1–2% of your bankroll

AI Probability

58%

Market-implied

53%

⚠ For informational purposes only; not betting advice. Value = AI probability − market implied probability.

🎯 AI Predictions

24-way SHAP · 2-way

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Alcaraz Win Sinner Win

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🔮 What-if Scenario Simulation

載入中…

📊 24-Dimensional Feature Contribution

Li Sinner − + Alcaraz

主隊主場攻擊力

—

主隊主場防守力

—

客隊客場攻擊力

—

客隊客場防守力

—

xG 差距

—

聯賽主場優勢

—

主隊近期 xG 狀態

—

客隊近期 xG 狀態

—

進攻效率

—

雙方防守水平

—

數據穩定度

—

歷史交手優勢

—

近五場交手

—

主隊休息天數

—

客隊旅途疲勞

—

主隊傷兵影響

—

客隊傷兵影響

—

聯賽積分壓力

—

賽程重要度

—

長期強度 Elo

—

節奏匹配

—

主隊主場攻擊力

—

主隊主場防守力

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客隊客場攻擊力

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📊 Key Figures

Clay Court Season

Clay-Court Win Percentage

ALC up 11%

ALCC. Alca…

89%

SINJ. Sinn…

78%

Break-even rate

ALC up 7%

ALCC. Alca…

31%

SINJ. Sinn…

24%

One-shot goal

SIN up 4%

ALCC. Alca…

67%

SINJ. Sinn…

71%

First-shot score

ALC +3%

ALCC. Alca…

75%

SINJ. Sinn…

72%

ACE / Venue

SIN High 1.4

ALCC. Alca…

6.8

SINJ. Sinn…

8.2

Web traffic conversion rate

ALC +6%

ALCC. Alca…

82%

SINJ. Sinn…

76%

Opponent's return error

ALC height 0.3

ALCC. Alca…

2.1

SINJ. Sinn…

1.8

Unforced error

SIN minus 0.5

ALCC. Alca…

3.4

SINJ. Sinn…

2.9

🎯 Expected number of games

Monte Carlo

Expected number of wins

—

Alcaraz

—

Sinner

—

Total number: O22.5—

The outcome will be decided in three sets—

Any team wins Game 7—

🎯 Top 6 Most Likely Scores

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⚔ Head-to-Head Record

Career: Alcaraz 7-4

2026
03/15

ALCA

2:1

SSIN

Alcaraz · Hard Court

2025
10/08

ALCA

1:2

SSIN

Sinner · Hard Court

2025
06/05

ALCA

3:2

SSIN

Alcaraz · Clay

2025
05/12

ALCA

2:1

SSIN

Alcaraz · Clay

2024
07/15

ALCA

3:1

SSIN

Alcaraz · Grass

📈 Recent Updates Form

Last 10 games

A Alcaraz 9 wins 1 Loss (Clay)

W W W L W W W W W W

Wvs Medvedev (SF)2-0

Wvs Zverev (QF)2-1

Wvs Ruud (R16)2-0

Wvs Rune (R32)2-0

S Sinner 8 wins 2 Loss (Clay)

W W L W W W W L W W

Wvs Djokovic (SF)2-1

Wvs Tsitsipas (QF)2-0

Wvs Fritz (R16)2-0

Wvs Dimitrov (R32)2-1

👥 Expected lineup

Updated 1 hour before the start

A C. Alcaraz · ATP #2 Right · 2H Backhand

Player Profile

🎂Age22 years old

📏Height183 cm

🏆Grand Slam4 titles

💰Lifetime Bonus$45M

🎾Clay Court CareerW 112 L 22

💪 Key Qualities

🔥Net-based attack82%

💥Forehand topspin3200 RPM

S J. Sinner · ATP #1 Right · 2H Backhand

Player Profile

🎂Age24 years old

📏Height191 cm

🏆Grand Slam3 titles

💰Lifetime Bonus$38M

🎾Clay Court CareerW 88 L 28

💪 Key Qualities

🎯Consistent servingACE 8.2 per game

⚡Backhand WinnerATP No. 1

📈 Odds Comparison

In real time

Bookie Alcaraz O22.5 Sinner

Pinnacle 1.88 1.85 1.96

Bet365 1.85 1.82 2.02

1xBet 1.86 1.80 2.00

William Hill 1.84 1.83 1.98

Highest odds

🎭 AI Triangular Debate

Debate Topic:Who will reign supreme in the clay-court final?

Conservatives Alcaraz Wins in Straight Sets ▼

Alcaraz has an 89% win rate on clay and has won all five of his recent matches against Sinner on clay; the home crowd in Madrid will give him an extra boost. There is a 40% chance he will win in straight sets.

→ Alcaraz wins 2-0

radicals Sinner Stages a Comeback After Falling Behind ▼

Sinner has a 75% win rate in opening sets; his aces force Alcaraz to play defensively on the return. The odds of 1.96 imply a 51% probability of victory; while the model’s 42% prediction is lower, a win in the first set could still make this a viable bet.

→ Sinner to win @ 1.96

Statisticians Total number: O22.5 ▼

The two players have averaged 23.8 games per match over their last five encounters; Sinner’s high return efficiency has led to longer sets; the probability of the match going to three or more sets is 40%, and the win rate for over 22.5 games is 58%.

→ Over 22.5 runs

🔗 Related Events

ATP · WTA on the Same Day

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All →

🎾

PREVIEW

AI In-Depth Analysis: Can Alcaraz's 3,200 RPM Forehand Overpower Sinner in the Clay-Court Final?

3 hours ago · Sports.game AI

⚡

BREAKING

Sinner Sweeps Djokovic in Semifinals, Form Approaching Season Peak

Yesterday · ATP Tour

🏆

RECAP

Alcaraz defeated Medvedev 2-0 in the semifinals, advancing to the final in straight sets

Yesterday · ESPN Tennis

🎯 AI Predictions

24-Feature Contribution (SHAP)

📊 Key Metrics Comparison

First-shot conversion rate

First-serve points won

Second-serve conversion rate

Breakout success rate

Strikeouts per game

Double faults per game The fewer, the better

Winning percentage on hard courts this season

Serve speed (km/h)

🎯 Match Predictions · Most Likely Scores

⚔ Head-to-Head Record

📈 Recent Form (Last 10 Matches)

👥 Athlete Profile

CA Carlos Alcaraz —

JS Jannik Sinner —

🎭 AI Triangular Debate

📰 Related Articles

💰 Top Pick: Value Bet

🎯 AI Predictions

📊 24-Dimensional Feature Contribution

📊 Key Figures

Clay-Court Win Percentage

Break-even rate

One-shot goal

First-shot score

ACE / Venue

Web traffic conversion rate

Opponent's return error

Unforced error

🎯 Expected number of games

⚔ Head-to-Head Record

📈 Recent Updates Form

👥 Expected lineup

A C. Alcaraz · ATP #2 Right · 2H Backhand

S J. Sinner · ATP #1 Right · 2H Backhand

📈 Odds Comparison

🎭 AI Triangular Debate

🔗 Related Events

📰 Related Articles

Tennis Match — AI Prediction & Odds